May 5 – 9, 2025
STELLENBOSCH, CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA
Africa/Johannesburg timezone

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A Semi-Analytic Lamb Wave Model for Prediction of Blast Overpressures from Large Asteroid Entries

May 8, 2025, 2:33 PM
8m
STELLENBOSCH, CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA

STELLENBOSCH, CAPE TOWN, SOUTH AFRICA

Protea Hotel by Marriott® Stellenbosch
Oral. Earth Impact Effects & Consequences Session 8: Earth Impact Effects & Consequences

Speaker

Wade Spurlock (NASA Ames Research Center)

Description

Keywords: blast, overpressure, Lamb wave, airburst, tsunami

Atmospheric entry and disruption of very large bodies produces blast waves with damage radii reaching hundreds or even thousands of kilometers. Recent 3D computational simulations of large impactors (above roughly 1 Gt kinetic energy at entry) demonstrate that these large blasts initially expand roughly spherically and then transition to more cylindrical behavior as the blast essentially “fills up” the entire height of the atmosphere. Since the blast is constrained by the ground, the large pressure disturbances transition to Lamb waves within the troposphere and can propagate many times around the globe. Over water, these pressure disturbances provide atmospheric forcing of Ocean Coupled Airwaves (OCA) that can cause tidal effects and tsunamis far from the blast source, as recently observed after the 2022 eruption of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Ha’apai [Omira, 2022; Nishikawa, 2022; Ren, 2023].

We present a semi-analytic model connecting the Lamb wave overpressure, blast yield energy, and distance from the blast source following the form of Nishikawa et al. [2022] with an extension to airbursts using the relationship between source energy and Lamb wave period from ReVelle & Whitaker [1996]. We also present a simple trigonometric extension to the wave front propagating around a spherical Earth. Since Lamb waves are essentially cylindrical elastic waves, the large blast model gives overpressure decay rates of $1/r$ rather than spherical blast decay rates of $1/r^2$. This slower blast overpressure decay indicates that blast damage (1 psi or greater) could extend even further than predictions from spherical-blast models or height-of-burst (HoB) models [Glasstone & Dolan, 1977]. Importantly, the Lamb wave model also enables fast and inexpensive estimation of the atmospheric forcing for global tsunami simulation even when the impact point is over land or for landlocked bodies of water.

In addition to the mathematical details of the Lamb wave model, we will show how it connects with weapons-heritage HoB methods near the source. We will also present full 3D simulation results focusing on large asteroids with up to 5 Gt of energy at entry. At these scales, overpressures above 2 psi may extend to over 200 km from the point of impact. The new Lamb wave model fills two modeling gaps: accurately predicting overpressures from large blasts at distances where HoB methods lose accuracy, and providing a tool for driving global tsunami simulations directly from the atmospheric energy deposition of large asteroid entries.

References:
• Omira, R., Ramalho, R.S., Kim, J. et al. “Global Tonga tsunami explained by a fast-moving atmospheric source” Nature 609, 734–740 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-04926-4
• Nishikawa, Y., Yamamoto, My., Nakajima, K. et al. “Observation and simulation of atmospheric gravity waves exciting subsequent tsunami along the coastline of Japan after Tonga explosion event.” Sci Rep 12, 22354 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-25854-3
• Zhiyuan Ren, Pablo Higuera, Philip Li-Fan Liu, “On Tsunami Waves induced by Atmospheric Pressure Shock Waves after the 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai Volcano Eruption” JGR Oceans 128(4), 12 April 2023, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC019166
• D.O. ReVelle, R.W. Whitaker, “Lamb waves from airborne explosion sources: Viscous effects and comparisons to ducted acoustic arrivals.” LANL Report, LA-UR-96-3594, Dec. 1996
• S. Glasstone, P.J. Dolan, The Effects of Nuclear Weapons, third ed., United States Department of Defense and the Energy Research and Development Administration, 1977. http://www.fourmilab.ch/etexts/www/effects/

Author

Wade Spurlock (NASA Ames Research Center)

Co-author

Michael Aftosmis (NASA Ames Research Center)

Presentation materials